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Donald trump , recent President of US , announced even in his manifesto that he will evacuate troops from Afghanistan because he thinks that these wars proved very costly without any result . Hence he is going to withdraw troops as soon as possible.
By keeping in touch with me in this article , you'll come to know a lot of information about the Afghan Peace Process . Major topics that are described ahead includes
What are the demands of both sides in this process ?
What happens if negotiations fail?
What is the Significance of Afghan Peace Process ?
Why peaceful deal is needed for Afghanistan's upcoming elections ?
and last but not the least
What is the role of Pakistan in whole scenario ?
Its Shayan here and today we will discuss all these questions in succcession , so keep in touch with me ....!!!!!!
- What are the demands of both sides in this process ?
Lets discuss earlier about the persons who are the part of negotiations from both sides .
- Zalmay Khalilzad , Afghan-US diplomat , represents Washington in whole scenario . He also served as US ambassador to UN (2007-2009) , to Iraq (2005-2007) and also to Afghanistan (2003-2005) .
- While Taliban's are represented by Sher Mohammad Abbas Stanikzai and Mullah Abdul Ghani Baradar .
- The talks are sponsored by Qatar in his capital Doha .
In recent two years , 8 rounds of talks are done till yet .
You know what is the interesting thing in the whole scenario . Kabul is not part of the whole negotiations . No doubt US tried their best to keep them in talks , but Taliban's reject the offer to sit in any talk with Afghan government , as they considered them ' puppet regime ' .
- Now lets discuss the four major matters that are the part of the negotiations
The very first demand put forward by Afghan Taliban's was the with drawl of US and NATO troops out of their country in months , they also demands a timeline from US for this .
"The main part in the discussion is the with drawl timeline and the technicalities of it " says afghan representative Sher Mohammad Abbas Stanikzai , during his media talk on Al Jazeera .
Moreover , three more major issues are also the part of recent negotiations which includes that Taliban's guarantees that they will not allow anyone , any armed force or any fighters , who conduct attacks on anyone keeping Afghanistan as launchpad . A permanent ceasefire of war and also intra-afghan dialogue's .
In my view , US is going to ready for all these issues which are the part of negotiations . In fact the US secretary of state Mike Pompeo hoped that the peace agreement could be reached by September 1 , he said during his visit to Kabul in June .
" I hope this is the last Eid where Afghanistan is at war " , Zalmay Khalilzad tweeted on Sunday .
Moreover , three more major issues are also the part of recent negotiations which includes that Taliban's guarantees that they will not allow anyone , any armed force or any fighters , who conduct attacks on anyone keeping Afghanistan as launchpad . A permanent ceasefire of war and also intra-afghan dialogue's .
In my view , US is going to ready for all these issues which are the part of negotiations . In fact the US secretary of state Mike Pompeo hoped that the peace agreement could be reached by September 1 , he said during his visit to Kabul in June .
" I hope this is the last Eid where Afghanistan is at war " , Zalmay Khalilzad tweeted on Sunday .
- What happens if negotiations fail?
Another question which has a great significance is that what happens if all the negotiations fail . The very short answer for this is , it will have very devastating consequences . Afghan people are the first ones who are affected if these negotiations fail . According to Wikipedia , over 31,000 civilian deaths and 29,900 woundeds are documented since 2001.
Besides this , Donald Trump , will also fail to get his popularity back in upcoming elections if negotiations fails because its politics has deep concern in this Afghan Peace Process . Taliban's also effected by it because they also want peace from the war they are fighting for almost 18 years .
Lets give a look on some unofficial's that are hopping for the failure of talks
" It will prove a major challenge and could result in a breakdown " says Dawood Azami , a journalist .
" If any peace deal was to happen , there would be several hurdles before it was implemented " , says Peter Galbraith , a former US diplomat .
" The biggest deal breaker may be an inability of Taliban negotiators to get all the factions of the Taliban to follow any peace document that is signed " , he also said .
So keeping in view all these comments , there are possibilities of failure of negotiations . But if you demand my view on this arrised question , it will never happens . The reason behind this all is the commitment of Trump to withdraw troops , regardless of other consequences . This will lead to the peaceful deal .
- What is the Significance of Afghan Peace Process ?
Peaceful deal in Afghan Peace Process is very necessary for all the parties who are participants in this. It is beneficial for whole region , for Afghan Taliban's , for US itself , for other NATO countries and most importantly for Afghan people , who are suffering very long in this war .
This peace deal is also has significance for Pakistan , Pakistani people and its Army also effected by this War at much extent .
Moreover , the upcoming presidential elections of Afghanistan are also gets benefited if peaceful deal happens in upcoming days . You can find its detail analysis ahead .
- Why peaceful deal is needed for Afghanistan's upcoming elections ?
" If we had a bad election after a bad peace deal , the Taliban will win Twice ", says Rahmatullah Nabil , presidential candidate of Afghanistan , he was also a former chief of national intelligence.
Afghan people are least interested in upcoming elections , rather they were praying hard for peaceful deal . A peaceful deal is much needed before September elections because some insurgents are threatening to attack elections . In fact Afghan people are thirsty for peace because this is the only way to have peace in country and in region also
" To confront the Taliban , we need a national consensus on the future , an election will only divide us " , Rahmatullah Nabil also said .
Many unofficials in Afghanistan thinks that elections without peace are proved as invitation to civil war and fragmentation again .
" The best course for the country would be a good credible election " , says Davood Moradian , Director of Afghan institute for Strategic Studies .
" The second best would be to postpone elections " , he also said .
So keeping all the aspects in view , we will come to know that for next presidential elections needs a peaceful deal . Otherwise , there are harsh consequences after September 28 , a day selected for Elections .
" To confront the Taliban , we need a national consensus on the future , an election will only divide us " , Rahmatullah Nabil also said .
Many unofficials in Afghanistan thinks that elections without peace are proved as invitation to civil war and fragmentation again .
" The best course for the country would be a good credible election " , says Davood Moradian , Director of Afghan institute for Strategic Studies .
" The second best would be to postpone elections " , he also said .
So keeping all the aspects in view , we will come to know that for next presidential elections needs a peaceful deal . Otherwise , there are harsh consequences after September 28 , a day selected for Elections .
- What is the role Pakistan in whole scenario ?
" We are playing a facilitatory role and would continue to do that ", says Dr Muhammad Faisal , Pak FO spokesman .
This is another arrised question in whole scenario that what is the role of Pakistan for peace in Afghanistan , which will lead peace in whole region.
As I mentioned above that Taliban's refused to sit on negotiation table with Afghan government , then the question arrised is that Isn't it important for peace in Afghanistan ? . The answer is simple that its totally unreal . Pakistan's role in it is very significant , because Talibans have long history with Pakistan since the Soveit Union War where Talibans fully supported by Rawalpindi . Moreover , almost many Taliban leaders were based in Pakistan .
Washington and Kabul knows that the Pakistan is a only player which will lead peaceful talks by convincing Taliban's on talks table with Kabul regime .
" Our efforts to facilitate the concerned groups to continue negotiations for an Afghan-led and Afghan-own solution to the conflict , are getting recognition " , Dr faisal also said .
Keeping its significance , Pakistan starts its struggle for peace . Recently in July , Pakistan hosts Afghan Peace Conference in Bhurban , Murree . In this meeting Pakistan invited representatives of all of Afghanistan's major political parties . Former Afghan president Hamid Karzai also invited but he can't attend it . But it is not clear that weather Taliban's are invited or not .
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